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Forecasting the whole grid, not just the price.

Price is an outcome. It's driven by how much the grid generates and how much it needs, block by block. So before Sparko forecasts a price, it forecasts generation and demand across India, from the whole country down to a single plant.

The foundation

Generation − demand = the price you trade.

When solar floods the grid at noon, prices fall, a battery should charge. When the sun sets and demand ramps, prices spike, a battery should discharge. Getting that right starts with forecasting the two forces underneath every price: what's being produced, and what's being consumed.

Generation forecaster

Every source, every region.

Sparko forecasts how much power each fuel will produce, solar and wind that swing with the weather, and the thermal, hydro and nuclear that fill the gaps. It runs at national, regional and state level, so you see supply the way the grid actually sees it.

Solar Wind Hydro Thermal Nuclear
Illustration of solar, wind and thermal power generation
Illustration of an electricity demand curve with peaks
Demand forecaster

What the grid will need, hour by hour.

Demand has a rhythm, a morning rise, a midday dip, a sharp evening peak, bent by weather, weekends and festivals. Sparko forecasts load for every major region so the optimiser knows when power will be scarce and valuable, and when it will be cheap and abundant.

  • Weather, calendar & festival effects built in
  • Morning and evening ramps identified early
  • Every major load region across India
Resolution

National to plant. Daily to 15 minutes.

The same forecast, at every zoom level, so you can see the whole country's balance or drill into a single asset's neighbourhood, for the day ahead or the next fifteen minutes.

Diagram of the national to regional to state to plant forecast hierarchy
1
National

India's total generation and demand balance.

2
Regional

Northern, Western, Southern, Eastern & North-Eastern grids.

3
State

State-level supply and load, where markets clear.

4
Plant

Down to an individual asset's local picture.

Daily → 15-minute

Every level resolves from the day ahead to each 15-minute block.

How it feeds the trade

From forecast to a placed bid.

1

Forecast supply & demand

Generation by fuel, and load, for every block.

2

Derive net load

Demand minus renewables, what the market must still cover.

3

Predict the price

Net load and congestion shape the clearing price.

4

Optimise the bid

Charge into the surplus, discharge into the scarcity.

See the full trading loop

Accuracy

Good forecasts, honestly measured.

Our generation and demand models are validated on multi-year historical data and tracked block by block. Tighter forecasts here are what make the price forecasts, and the bids, trustworthy.

Figures are backtested on historical data and vary by region and season.

5
fuels forecast, solar, wind, hydro, thermal, nuclear
4
zoom levels, national → regional → state → plant
96
fifteen-minute blocks forecast per day
Day-ahead
horizon, refreshed intraday

See the grid the way Sparko does.

Book a demo and we'll walk you through the generation, demand and price forecast for a day on your grid.